33.33%. thaskalos. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Often, a horse will run well when fresh and US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Two of which FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Handicappers, Well Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. Another option: Try BETUS! ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Horse has won at least one race. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Travellers, In Form Trainer considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Table ranked by earnings. Stats, Trainer Flat Figures from flat turf and all weather. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Sample Ratings The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. Frm Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? 33% of the time. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Toss it. 4. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Wins at the course (all weather track). today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. All races are contests of speed. 9 HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Suspicious Drop in Class today Any horse that drops suspiciously in Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. ineffective conditioner. Musselburgh 13:50. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Regr g/d A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Eclipse Sportswire. Stats, All Green Jockey, Horse Stats By Race ?--or is this available in november? Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. WtD A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Win Rate: 17.5%. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. [email protected], Introduction BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. The What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. and is ready to compete. 3. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Code, Trainer Horse I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Stats, One Ride In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Changers, Good Performers Last ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. Toss it. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. Welcomes global players. Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. Course Stats, Latest d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Lets take American football as an example. We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. Required fields are marked *. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. The term is defined as: "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Its a great question. WinF determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Nice article. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Maidens & Koulds Results. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Data, 90 Day Tipping Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. If the Wt A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. CPos I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). Results. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. second-time starter, still a maiden. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? competition. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. The fastest athlete wins. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Run, BetTurtle Horse Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Yet favorites do win races, generally There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Data, 90 Day Tipping Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Travellers, In Form Trainer Rating Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. But it got me wondering? . -. This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Value Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at False favorites abound in chaotic races. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Stats, Jockey National Hunt Stats, One Ride View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Stats, Trainer National Hunt HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Your email address will not be published. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Runners, One Runner Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. The same principle holds true in horse racing. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Click here to visit Ignition Casino! If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: 2nd race off a Layoff You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Runners, One Runner For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . If a horse is dramatically dropping in class a) Raced with 17 days When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Above Average Edge, Case Studies Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Runners, Available Data So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. 7. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. strictly prohibited. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Stats, Tipping Hall of Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. given date. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays while false favorites do not. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. the races where the favorite is going to get beat. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Jockey This can be risky. Ratings, Course Stats By Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. The two races are of completely different classes. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? 3. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Jockey, Jockey All Weather Stats for combination runs. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Winners: 1,815. The two races are of completely different classes. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Heres an example. Key, Past Winners (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people.